WEBINAR NOTE: China Pakistan Economic Corridor and Central Asia: Evolving Connectivity.

  Over a period of about 500 years, from 750 A.D. to 1250 A.D., Central Asia produced
some of the world’s finest minds and its workshops produced exquisite goods that
were recognized and traded across Europe and Asia.
During this period, Central Asia benefitted from being at the center of the Silk Road
connecting East Asia to the Middle East and Europe. But by the 18th century, Central
Asia had ceased to be the “center of Asia” and was no longer astride major trade
routes, as trade between Asia and Europe moved to use sea routes.
Worse, during the “Great Game,” the Russian and British Empires agreed on a “buffer”
along the northern border of Afghanistan further denying Central Asia linkages with
the West and South Asia.
With the end of the Soviet Union in 1991, the artificial divide across Central Asia
ended. With the rapid growth of the Chinese and South Asian economies, Central Asia
now lies between Asian and European markets that account for two-thirds of the
global population, two-thirds of world GDP, and more than two-thirds of global trade.
As the so-called ‘Asian Century’ unfolds, Central Asian countries are increasingly
directing their foreign relations eastward. Meanwhile, Asian states are equally turning
to Central Asia in their search for energy resources and new markets.
This dual dynamic is giving rise to closer and deeper ties in three key areas.
1. Infrastructures. Various Asian powers have adopted Silk Road policies that see
Central Asia as a fundamental transit route for their long-haul connectivity
projects.
2. Trade. Central Asia’s exchanges with other Asian countries have been growing
steadily since the 1990s, in some cases even coming to rival, in comparative
terms, exchanges with the West.
3. Multilateralism. Central Asia is increasingly enmeshed in a web of overlapping
institutions, coexisting with the region’s Western institutional arrangements.
There are a number of connectivity projects competing in Central Asia. Among them,
the International North–South Transport Corridor (INSTC) is a 7,200-km-long multi-
mode network of ship, rail, and road route for moving freight between South Asia,
Iran, Afghanistan, Russia, Central Asia and Europe. Iran and India have their own
versions of transport corridors for inter-region and intra-regional connectivity.
The Iran-China strategic partnership agreement, which surfaced recently, is aligned to
the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). It envisages, among other projects, the upgrading of
Iran’s transport infrastructure beginning with the 2,300-kilometre road that will link
Tehran with Urumqi in China’s Xinjiang province. This will be dovetailed with the
Urumqi- Gwadar link developed under the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC)
under the “New Silk Road”. The road link when completed would have an ambitious
plan to provide connectivity with Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and
Turkmenistan and thereafter via Turkey into Europe.
The China Pakistan Economic Corridor is indeed the project of the future, with a
number of countries of South Asia and Central Asia gravitating to it. The expression on
intent has been phenomenal. During coming years, all routes for access to and from
markets of China, and projects like TAPI and CASA are likely to need a ride through.
This 2700 kilometers long road and economic belt is a flagship of China’s One Belt One
Road initiative. Originating at Gwadar port on the Western flank of Pakistan and
strategically situated on the Arabian Sea, it links China’s Western region at Kashgar.
It crosses the Historical Grand Trunk Road, built by the Muslim Ruler of India, Sher
Shah Suri at several locations providing the linkages to the famous Khyber Pass on the
Hindu Kush mountains range of Afghanistan.
The CPEC has fascinated a number of countries from the South-West and Central Asia
and beyond. This connectivity venture is a potential game changer for the region as it
would be, when fully developed, a catalyst for economic activity and integration
amongst Central Asia, South Asia, Middle East, North Africa and Europe. It would
benefit around three billion people of the region.
The Central Asian countries, which share history, culture and ancestry with the region,
have always looked to access regional markets, including Pakistan, China and the
countries of West Asia. The CPEC serves as a strategic opportunity to knit all the
countries.
The CPEC connectivity will help in three main sectors, which are foundational for
regional economic growth: trade, energy, and tourism.
Both South Asia and Central Asia have some intra-regional issues. Nevertheless, the
short land route for connecting the two regions passes through Afghanistan, often
included in both regions. It is envisioned that the Doha Agreement between the United
States and the Taliban will end the 18 years’ war and allow Afghanistan to serve as a
conduit for access to Central Asia and eventually join the CPEC. Further, the CPEC
infrastructure will benefit Afghanistan in its Transit Trade arrangement with Pakistan
as was demonstrated early this year when a large cargo of fertilizer was received and
transported from the Gwadar port.
Apart from Gwadar, the other port is Chabahar that is located next to the Gulf of
Oman and at the mouth of Strait of Hormuz. Situated at mere 70 km from each other,
Gwadar and Chabahar complement each other and provide dual nodal access to
Central Asia.
While it is Gwadar focused, the CPEC can provide alternative land route to enter
Central Asia, in addition to the Afghanistan corridor, from Khunjrab via Tajikistan and
from Urumqi as envisaged under the proposed China-Iran strategic agreement.
Considering this, the Lahore Center for Peace Research has organized a Webinar to
open the discourse to study and examine the enablers and inhibitors to connectivity
between Central and South Asia and draw qualitative conclusions with regard to
extent and limits of its connectivity and integration viability. The Webinar has the
twofold objectives:
– To analyze the political and geostrategic perspective of South Asia and
Central Asia connectivity using the CPEC infrastructures.
– To examine the physical and economic viability of the proposal.
The people of South Asia and Central Asia romanticize with the concept of integration
and draw their inspiration from various historic narratives. The two sub regions
enjoyed good connectivity until the beginning of the Great Game characterized by
Anglo-Russian rivalry during the 19th and 20th centuries.
The purpose is to draw them closer in the interest of peace and prosperity. 

 

Kashmir Solidarity Day Conference.

Kashmir Solidarity Day Conference.

‘Promotion and protection of human rights is a global responsibility which the international community has failed to discharge in respect of the Kashmiri people.’ This was a unanimous view expressed at a Conference in Lahore today (February 5 2020) organized by Lahore Center for Peace Research (LCPR) to affirm Pakistan’s solidarity with the people of Indian-occupied Jammu & Kashmir who have been under siege since India’s illegal abrogation of Article 370/35A on August 5, 2019.

The Conference was attended by a cross section of the public with a panel of 20 eminent speakers which included Former Foreign Minister Khurshid Mahmud Kasuri, Former Senator S. M. Zafar, Kashmiri leaders Mishal Malik and Nazir Gilani, Justice Nasira Javed, reputed media personalities Mujeeb ur Rehman Shami, Sohail Wariach, Salman Ghani, Sajid Mir, Irshad Arif, Qayum Nizami, Habib Akram, and former Ambassadors Shaukat Umar, Iqbal Ahmad Khan, Shahid Malik and Former Foreign Secretary Shamshad Ahmad Khan.

The Conference noted with concern that Kashmir Valley today was the scene of the biggest, bloodiest and perhaps the most obscure military occupation in the world. India’s illegal and unilateral steps seeking to change the status of Jammu & Kashmir through its 5 August 2019 actions in contravention of international law and the relevant UN Security Council resolutions have once again brought the entire region to the brink of another India-Pakistan conflict.

The Conference declared that use of force is not and has never been the answer to peoples’ quest for freedom. Popular movements cannot be suppressed by force. The only durable solution to the Kashmir dispute lies in allowing the Kashmiris to choose their own destiny as pledged to them by the international community in UN Security Council resolutions. There is no justification whatsoever for denying the inalienable right of self-determination to the people of Jammu and Kashmir.

Specific recommendations emerging from the Conference were as follows:

 UN’s human rights agencies, notably the Human Rights Council, Office of High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR), as well as other international agencies including ICRC, Amnesty International and International Crisis Group must remain engaged to monitor the on-ground situation in Indian-held Kashmir.

 Over the years, Kashmir has magnified manifold becoming today a veritable nuclear flash point. The United Nations must fulfill its responsibility to prevent the Kashmir issue from erupting into another India-Pakistan conflict with perilous consequences for the region and the world at large.

 The world powers, including the United States should facilitate a fair and lasting settlement of the Kashmir dispute. India must restore normalcy in the occupied Kashmir by ending human rights abuses and its illegal actions to change the nature of the disputed territory through demographic engineering in Kashmir.

 India must avoid intimidation and hurling of threats against Pakistan. The world’s major powers, especially the five permanent members of the UNSC owe it to the world not to let the impending risk of genocide in the Indian occupied Kashmir become reality.

 The UN Security Council must mandate UNMOGIP to expand and strengthen its monitoring mechanisms on both sides of the LOC and to promptly report all violations to the Council.

 The UN General Assembly should also play its due role in advancing the cause of peace and justice in Kashmir. One effective modality available to the Assembly in this regard is to invite the ICJ for its Advisory Opinion on the illegality of India’s recent actions seeking to alter the status of Indian Occupied Jammu and Kashmir.

 UN Secretary-General must appoint without further delay an eminent person of an international standing as his special envoy on Kashmir to monitor the situation in Kashmir including the human rights situation.

 It is also time for world’s living Nobel Peace Laureates to wake up and smell the gunpowder in the streets of Indian occupied Kashmir. Pakistan must mobilise their moral weight behind the Kashmir cause.

LAHORE CENTER FOR PEACE RESEARCH (LCPR) ROUNDTABLE WITH CENTRE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES (C.e.S.I.) ITALY

LAHORE CENTER FOR PEACE RESEARCH (LCPR) ROUNDTABLE WITH CENTRE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES (C.e.S.I.) ITALY

Lahore Center for Peace Research (LCPR) hosted a roundtable meeting on: “Regional Security Situation in the Context of Traditional and Non-Traditional Threats”, at Pearl Continental Hotel, Lahore on February 1, 2020.

The meeting was attended by an Italian delegation comprising of Professor Andrea Margelletti, President of C.e.S.I., Mr. Gabriele Iacovino, Director of C.e.S.I., Ms. Francessa Manenti, Senior Analyst (Asia), C.e.S.I  and Mr. Franco Coco, advisor to the Italian ambassador in Pakistan. The meeting was also attended by Shamshad Ahmad, Chairman LCPR, Dr. Mujahid Mansoori, Executive Director LCPR, Lt. Gen. (R) Javed Hassan, Director Pak-Turkey Studies Center, University of Management and Technology (UMT), Lt. Gen. (R) Nasir Janjua, former National Security Advisor (NSA) and Mr. Khalid Sherdil CEO Urban Unit.

In the opening remarks, Chairman LCPR, Mr. Shamshad Ahmad Khan said that Pakistan and Italy have had cordial relations in the past and they have convergent interests on various issues. President of C.e.S.I., Professor Andrea Margelletti who is also advisor to the Italian government on Security issues said that the world today is increasingly becoming bi-polar where we may see US and China as two poles and there exists a potential of escalation of clash of interests. He further added that both Italy and Pakistan can play a positive role in stabilizing the situation and Pakistan can see Italy as its strategic partner in the west. Gen. (R) Javed Hassan commented on the significance of the geo-politics in context of the interests of the superpowers in the South Asian region. Gen. (R) Nasir Janjua said that post World War II order has got degraded the global superiority is again under a delusion. Geo-politically it is under a paradigm shift. So, in such a situation, all of us are taking different sides or making corrections or making adjustments. The former NSA also said that Pakistan is a great country of future and so is Italy. He urged that both countries should come closer to do better and give better to the world.

Ms. Francessa Manenti floated an idea that the Italy and Pakistan have the potential to go for  joint ventures of trade and commerce and proposed that the two countries can produce a product bilaterally and sell it to a third market that can be Central Asia or South Asia. Mr. Franco Coco added to the point of potential for joint ventures between Italy and Pakistan that the Italian style suit he was wearing was made up of Italian fabric but was stitched by a Pakistani tailor. Mr. Khalid Sherdil also stressed upon enhancing economic and cultural promotion to strengthen the ties. He said Italy and Pakistan may be geographically far away from each other but they have a strong linkage through history and culture.

Mr. Shamshad Ahmad, Chairman LCPR, in his closing remarks said that both Pakistan and Italy need to enhance mutual cooperation on various regional and global issues. The meeting ended with signing of Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) between LCPR and C.e.S.I.